26/06/13
On 7/2/2013 I penned the first of what will be 12 monthly stories proving that backing horses that haven’t won a race anywhere for the last 52 weeks or more, when those horses are contesting Saturday city races – is simply a quick way for a punter to lose their hard earned.
To have any remote chance of winning whilst punting over the course of a calendar year, punters need to establish some rules to abide by. Those rules may be to 1) not to back odds-on favourites, 2) not to bet on slow or heavy tracks, 3) not to back horses resuming from a spell, 4) not to back horses from certain overrated stables, etcetera.
Avoiding backing horses in Saturday city races that haven’t won in the last 52 weeks is a good rule to implement into one’s punting strategy as I’ll prove conclusively in those 12 articles that will go up publicly during this calendar year. Like any other rule of punting, the odd one will win, but not enough will win to make you ever consider changing the rule once it’s been invoked.
The four previous stories that I penned on the subject on from January 2013, February 2013, March 2013 and April 2013 can be read in the archives at the far bottom of this page.
Today I look back on “long term losers” that raced in each of Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne Saturday races during the month of May 2013 and you’ll see a few familiar names that you regularly 1) hear the “experts” tip and/or that 2) ill-informed punters back time and again. The track rating at the end of the meeting is listed in the report along with the number of months since the horse has won, along with the name of the trainer, the placing it ran on the day and the official starting price.
DATE
CITY
HORSE
LAST WIN MTHS
PLACE
S/P
TRAINER
4/5
GC-G3
WARRIOR WITHIN
19
6
$41
Hill
COUNT ENCOSTA
37
4
$8
Thompson
SINISTER PRINCE
14
7
$11
Heinemann
SPATHA
18
3
$31
Brosnan
PROST
16
3
$17
Thompson
EMVOSS
17
15
$15
Edmonds
KARUTA QUEEN
18
2
$8
Moody
PANE IN THE GLASS
20
7
$16
Thompson
SKATING ON ICE
16
11
$19
L. Kelly
PUNCH ON
15
3
$31
Balzen
HAPPY ZERO
37
10
$31
Hawkes
PHELAN READY
49
6
$12
McLachlan
WILD AND PROUD
14
16
$61
Pfieffer
UTAH SAINTS
12
9
$7
Stanley
LATIN NEWS
36
11
$61
Dais
LUKE’S LUCK
12
14
$21
Schweida
H-G3
EMPEROR BIG NOSE
32
7
$19
Thomas
LORDROH
13
11
$71
Slinkard
LADY LONHRO
25
10
$26
Poidevin
PEAL OF BELLS
12
7
$21
Markwell
SCOTTISH BORDER
25
4
$41
Frazer
DYNAMIC HONOUR
17
8
$3
Waller
ORTHIE’S GEM
21
9
$51
Bartley
ANYTHING
23
11
$101
Suez
SAINT DESIR
24
9
$14
McEvoy
BAKUP
38
10
$151
Steinmetz
FORFEITURE
13
9
$21
Snowden
ARCTIC FLIGHT
12
2
$14
A. Cummings
POTIONS
25
10
$31
Thompson
MONTON
16
5
$5
Quinton
BEATEN UP
18
2
$7
Waller
HOME ON A WING
20
8
$101
A. Cummings
ASHOKAN
13
3
$21
Waterhouse
BALAVAN
20
4
$21
Waller
RIOMORAL
13
12
$101
McInerney
McCLINTOCK
42
13
$10
De Montfort
CORNWALL PARK
34
9
$18
A. Cummings
OAKFIELD COMM
14
7
$6.50
D. Smith
TERRITORY
30
3
$11
Austin
TOM’S ROCKET
19
11
$51
Rowley
M-G3
SWEET ELLA
12
7
$4.60
Eurell
OFFENDERS
26
3
$8.50
Snowden
LIVIGNO
13
6
$12
Fliedner
STAND TO GAIN
24
8
$201
Challis
BLACK AND BENT
12
9
$26
Smerdon
GOTTA KEEP COOL
20
11
$31
Weir
TAXI JOE
17
5
$10
Conlan
RETLAW LAD
13
7
$151
McCabe
UNDERESTIMATION
12
4
$21
Lawson
MAREEZA
13
11
$7
Moody
FORMIDABLE
15
1
$8.50
Ellerton
PRINCESS ROYALE
15
5
$51
McEvoy
11/5
B-H9
BAQABA
35
10
$151
Tregea
BENNY’S BUTTONS
28
1
$14
Wood
HAIZUM
14
11
$51
Sears
SILVER BULLION
28
6
$19
Heathcote
REAL STOLLE
18
12
$41
Thompson
KNEELING
20
5
$41
Thompson
VESPER
26
11
$101
Jacobs
RAEBURN
28
8
$21
Smith
LESS IS MORE
13
1
$4.60
Vandyke
DUSTY GOLD
18
7
$11
Dunn
WATERFORD
13
5
$6
Pike
NOOGOORA BURR
16
11
$61
Lawlor
RAIN AFFAIR
13
2
$4
Pride
TEMPLE OF BOOM
12
11
$26
T. Gollan
SPIRIT OF BOOM
15
6
$41
T. Gollan
JETSET LAD
14
7
$81
Wheeler
DOUBLE IMPACT
15
9
$10
Crompton
MAURY
12
4
$26
Thompson
DOUBTFILLY
13
1
$7.50
Kendrick
S-G3
AMORINO
16
11
$5.50
Ryan
NUPTSE
16
2
$21
Lees
TITBIT
17
10
$21
Waller
URGENT BELLS
18
1
$7
Lees
SWEET LITTLE LIES
16
5
$3
Waller
EMPRESS MILLY
14
7
$26
Perry
FAST AND SEXY
28
8
$10
Waller
PHAROMAC
14
11
$21
McEvoy
MAXIMUS GLADIA
12
6
$13
Vandyke
PERMIT
12
5
$15
Waller
STRIKE THE STARS
19
3
$6.50
A. Cummings
MAULES CREEK
13
10
$17
Thompson
PEAL OF BELLS
13
15
$26
Markwell
COUNT ENCOSTA
37
11
$41
Thompson
MACKNUCKLE
29
13
$101
Dryden
BALAVAN
20
2
$5.50
Waller
RENEWED VITALITY
19
8
$9
Thompson
SOUTHERN SKYE
42
12
$101
Perry
STRATANA
17
13
$61
Sergeant
COMBAT KITTY
18
7
$21
M. Smith
HAPPY HUSSY
16
6
$8
Vandyke
TURF HERO
13
14
$21
Markwell
RUMOUR & SCANDAL
24
12
$26
Thompson
M-D4
CRUCIAL
12
4
$7
Freedman
BLACKIE
20
7
$6
McLean
DE FINE LAGO
40
5
$31
Vasil
CARDINAL VIRTUE
28
11
$12
Binaisse
PAGO ROCK
13
1
$8.50
Hayes
ROCKPECKER
14
7
$51
Fythe
BOLTON
15
6
$51
S. Brown
BIG CHILL
13
3
$6
Ellerton
MALUTI
17
7
$6.50
Snowden
ANUDJAWUN
36
8
$61
S. Dwyer
RED EYE SPECIAL
20
6
$41
Moroney
THE BIG STEEL
24
4
$10
S. Brown
LASPIEL
12
9
$21
H. Dwyer
FULGUR
22
2
$1.90
Waller
DOWAGER QUEEN
20
10
$21
Moody
HARRY TRIMBOLE
24
5
$5.50
Kent
SPOT ON MAGGIE
14
4
$15
Carey
18/5
B-D4
COMAHNI
12
4
$17
Wilson
FANCIFUL
20
11
$17
O’Dea
AROUND THE WORLD
15
7
$17
Hanna
VOILA ICI
23
7
$17
Moody
WATERFORD
13
10
$13
Pike
LUKE’S LUCK
13
16
$101
Schweida
OASIS ROSE
17
9
$19
Rogerson
MANIGHAR
13
4
$8
Moody
ZABEELIONAIRE
12
13
$31
Corstens
BEATEN UP
18
1
$9
Waller
SECRET ADMIRER
19
3
$15
Begg
FIBRILLATION
13
11
$15
Martin
PHELAN READY
49
9
$13
McLachlan
GREEN BIRDIE
36
10
$101
Duryea
JUSTANEXCUSE
13
15
$31
Latta
LISTEN SON
17
3
$15
T. Gollan
S-G3
CIRCLE OF FAME
13
6
$51
Cooper
LADY LA DOUCE
15
4
$13
Croft
LEGGINIT
20
8
$101
Schmetzer
SINGLE STYLE
12
8
$12
G. Portelli
DECISION TIME
20
3
$7.50
C. Conners
SNIPER’S BULLET
41
8
$71
Bartley
LIVEANDLETDIE
15
9
$71
B. Baker
BEREFT
21
11
$21
Atkins
SHANNARA
17
11
$8.50
Snowden
ANGEL OF MERCY
12
9
$12
Ryan
ARCTIC FLIGHT
12
1
$11
A. Cummings
FORFEITURE
13
14
$31
Snowden
ASHOKAN
14
6
$4.20
Waterhouse
MIC MAC
44
11
$16
Messara
SATIN SHOES
19
1
$9
C. Conners
BORDER REBEL
14
3
$7
Grills
ZARATONE
13
4
$4.80
B. Baker
ANISE
25
2
$8.50
Snowden
JEST CREWSIN’
23
12
$41
Bowen
M-G3
UNDERESTIMATION
12
6
$17
Lawson
DOMESKY
17
9
$18
Kent
ROSELLO
20
8
$51
Corstens
EXTRA ZERO
13
4
$21
Hayes
ULUNDI
16
14
$31
Eden
AGRIPPA
16
6
$9.50
Sadler
HOLLOWLEA
31
5
$11
O’Sullivan
UPBEAT
14
7
$12
A. Cummings
STAND TO GAIN
24
16
$201
Challis
TAXI JOE
18
8
$6
Conlan
HACKETT’S HEART
15
13
$81
Carey
RETLAW LAD
13
11
$101
McCabe
TITLE
13
9
$8.50
Pride
SHELLSCRAPE
37
15
$51
N. Burke
UTAH SAINTS
12
13
$13
Stanley
TESTASCANA
20
12
$31
Cerchi
THAT’S THE ONE
14
3
$3.10
Alderson
BY THE WAY
17
2
$14
Lewis