Adam Campton’s full preview and best bets Warwick Farm today

Kathy O’Hara rides Adam’s best today. Photo courtesy Daryl Duckworth.

WARWICK FARM 28/6/17

 

Rail Position: +5m 1000m-W/Post, +3m Remainder
Track Condition: Soft 5

 

Best Bet – Race 3 #1 All In The Reflexs $3.80 bet now

Value bet – Race 4 #7 Gracious Grey $12 bet now

 

 

 

Race 1 – 12:35PM MAIDEN PLATE (1400 METRES)

No. 8 Mawzoona is a well bred filly who showed nice ability on debut and then improved again last start at this track. She is drawn to get a lovely run from the draw and this filly should be ready to peak now. No. 6 Stone stuck on well to run fourth on debut at Canterbury. He is fitter now and the rise in trip is ideal. No. 5 Noviero kept trying all the way to the line on debut and he should be better suited over this trip today, but I am worried that he might get caught wide from the draw. No. 3 Dunatun can improve now that he is fitter and rises in trip.

Back the 8 to win $5.50 bet now

Race 2 – 1:10PM MAIDEN HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

 

No. 5 Dahooil resumes and has had one nice trial in readiness for this maiden. She has drawn well and her form reads very well. No. 2 Tivoli Street is a consistent galloper who has been good in both runs back from a spell. He has drawn well and the drop back in trip should suit. No. 1 Star Of Monsoon has the ability to blow these away, but he is filthy on winning. He will get every chance to win his first race.

Back the 5 to win $5 bet now

 

Race 3 – 1:50PM BENCHMARK 72 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

 

No. 1 All In The Reflexs wasn’t disgraced in a much tougher race at Rosehill last start. She is rock hard fit now, drawn well and this track suits. No. 5 Little Miss Brown ran on very well first-up and she must be respected again over the longer trip. No. 3 Queen Misty ran a nice race when resuming at Canterbury earlier this month. Her second-up record is good, but the wide barrier is a worry.

 Back the 1 to win $3.80 bet now

 

Race 4 – 2:25PM BENCHMARK 67 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

 

No. 7 Gracious Grey ran on strongly first-up and then improved again when winning at Newcastle second-up. She is nice filly in the making and I like that she steps up to the mile third-up. No. 9 Jaunty has shown nice ability in her short career. She is ready to peak now over the mile. No. 8 Common Purpose is a very nice horse who has good ability, but I think he is still one prep away from putting it all together.

Back the 7 each way $12 bet now

 

Race 5 – 3:05PM BENCHMARK 67 HANDICAP (2200 METRES)

 

No. 6 Roman Son is chasing a hat-trick after winning very impressively at both Kembla and Newcastle. This is tougher but he is fitter now and the extra distance is ideal. No. 7 Art Of Defence will get a gun run from the draw and I like that Bowman goes on his back. No. 3 Diamond Made is rock hard fit and she will appreciate the drop back in trip.

Back the 6 to win $2.25 bet now

 

Race 6 – 3:40PM BENCHMARK 71 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

No. 5 More Than Fabulous has come back well this prep and he looks very well suited back in this grade. He will slot in just behind the leaders and attack the line strongly when asked.  No. 2 Calypso Bay was a very impressive winner last start at Canterbury. This is harder, but he has plenty of upside and this gelding is unbeaten over this trip. No. 7 Orcym Sam is ready to peak now and I wouldn’t be surprised if this horse ran a massive race at nice odds.

Back the 5 each way $9 bet now

 

Race 7 – 4:20PM BENCHMARK 67 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

No. 13 Hypernicus is a tough old horse who won well at Nowra last start. He loves a wet track and he should get every chance from barrier three. No. 6 Better Be Good is racing well and I expect him to appreciate the step up in trip. No. 2 Cosmic Engine ran on well to score a nice win first-up at Newcastle. He needs some luck from the draw, but he is fitter now and I think this horse is bigger and stronger this time in.

Back the 13 each way $21 bet now

 

Quaddie –

1, 3, 5, 7, 8

2, 3, 6, 7

2, 4, 5, 7, 8

2, 6, 13

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