Adam Campton’s full preview and best bets Warwick Farm tomorrow

Adam Campton’s full preview and best bets Warwick Farm tomorrow

Cosmic Engine is Adam’s best at Warwick Farm. Photo courtesy Daryl Duckworth.

WARWICK FARM 8/7/17

 

Rail Position: True Position Entire Circuit
Track Condition: Soft 6

 

 

 

 

 

Best bet – Race 4 #1 Cosmic Engine $3.50 bet now

Value bet – Race 6 #14 Second Step $18 bet now

 

Race 1 – 11:30AM HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

 No. 5 Awesome Pluck was heavily backed and won like a serious animal on debut at Taree. This is a big step up in grade, but his recent trial was very good and I think this horse might be well above average. No. 4 Luiza resumes after showing nice ability in her first prep. She has trialled well on two occasions this time in and barrier one is perfect for her. No. 3 Brook Magic has won two in a row this prep and she should be very hard to beat again from the gun draw. Peaks now. No. 6 Sparky Lad is a very interesting debutant from the Waller stable who has been trialling like a nice animal. Big watch.

Back the 5 to win $3.30 bet now

 

Race 2 – 12:05PM BENCHMARK 83 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

 No. 4 Philosophy ran on strongly to win well at Canterbury first-up, she is fitter now and the rise in trip looks ideal. No. 7 Noire is a lightly raced filly who is getting better and better with every run. The stable will have her rock hard fit now, she has drawn well and the drop in weight suits. No. 1 Pioneering didn’t do much last Saturday, but I am happy to forgive her because she is very nice horse at her best. No. 9 Stilettoed Vixen is a very fit horse who can run a cheeky race at big odds with no weight on her back.

Back the 4 to win $3.10 bet now

 

Race 3 – 12:40PM PRO BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (2400 METRES)

 No. 1 Collateral has won his last four in nice style and I can’t see any reason why he can’t win again. No. 2 Sayed has been racing very well down in Melbourne and I expect this horse to really appreciate the rise in trip. No. 8 More Than Fabulous will run a much improved race from the nice draw and No. 3 The Gavel will appreciate the drop in weight and rise in trip.

Back the 1 to win $2.45 bet now

 

Race 4 – 1:15PM BENCHMARK 72HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

 No. 1 Cosmic Engine has won his last two in very nice fashion. He is ready to peak now and he should get a lovely run mid field. No. 2 Ghostly couldn’t produce his best last start because he got too far back and they went pretty slow up front, but I thought his effort to run third was still very good. He will appreciate the drop in class and the 1.5kg claim off his back. No. 4 Kool Vinnie needs some luck from the wide draw, but he is racing well and he deserves a crack against these horses on Saturday. No. 3 Arbeitsam struggled last start on a heavy track, so just put a pen through that run. He will roll forward and be in from for a long way, but I think he might struggling late.

Back the 1 to win $3.50 bet now

 

Race 5 – 1:50PM HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

 No. 2 Suncraze is a very nice horse in the making, but he needs to win this race on Saturday for his confidence. I won’t be loading up on the short odds this weekend, but he should be beating these horses. Lift Suncraze! No. 11 On The Fiddle did enough first-up and he should improve now that he is fitter.  No. 5 Salesman has to be included after a nice win last start and No. 1 Nic’s Vendetta is a consistent horse who will appreciate the rise in trip.

Small bet on the 2 to win $1.85 bet now

 

Race 6 – 2:30PM BENCHMARK 70 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

 Race of the day in my opinion and I am happy to have something each way on No. 14 Second Step because she is a nice horse in the making and she is going to get a lovely run from the draw.  No. 9 Kings Of Leon should have won last start, but he got too far back and had to settle for third placing. He should lob into a nice position from the draw and hi second-up record is good. No. 10 Launch Code is a former James Cummings galloper who won very well at this track back in May. This gelding is a very good horse, but I am a bit worried about the gap between runs. No. 3 Alluvion resumes and has had no recent trials. Her form last prep was good and this distance should suit.

Back the 14 at $18 bet now and 9 each way at $7 bet now

 

Race 7 – 3:10PM BENCHMARK 93 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

 No. 3 Liapari won well two back and then last start he looked like he was going backwards, but he picked himself up and attacked the line late to run third. He has a good record over this trip and Bowman will make sure that he gets the best out of him. No. 8 Heavenly Anna couldn’t sprint under the big weight on a heavy track last start, so just forgive that effort. She is a very fit horse who drops in weight and the mile should suit. No. 4 So Willie is racing very well this time in and he should love the drop back to the mile. No. 5 Olympic Academy resumes and will be better suited over further, but don’t be shocked if this horse ran a big race fresh because he is a tough animal.

Back the 3 to win $3.40 bet now

 

Race 8 – 3:50PM BENCHMARK 82HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

 No. 11 I Can Rock got back and really attacked the line well to score a nice win at this track/distance last star. He has a nice turn on foot when right and I like that the stable has kept him fresh. No. 2 Your Way resumes and has had two nice trials to get ready for this race. She has to carry the big weight, but she is a winner and this mare is unbeaten first-up. She is mapped to get a lovely run throughout. No. 7 Hot Hit should get every chance from the gun draw and this gelding doesn’t know how to run a bad race over this trip. No. 12 Eminent Duke has done nothing this time in, but he peaks now and if he found his best than he could run a huge race at big odds.

Back the 11 each way $8 bet now

 

Race 9 – 4:30PM BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

Very tough race to end the day, but I am happy to have something each way on No. 10 Kelvinside because his recent trial was good and this gelding is drawn to get the run of the race. No. 9 Imanui has good ability, but this horse is a bit of a thinker. His trial was good this time in, but he just needs some luck early from the wide draw. No. 1 Hollywood Bound resumes and has trialled well. He has drawn well, gets a claim and his first-up record is good. No. 14 Nonpareil is racing consistently, but I think she is under the odds.

Back the 9 at $12 bet now and 10 each way at $31 bet now

 

QUADDIE –

2, 3, 5, 7, 9, 10, 12, 14

3, 4, 8

2, 7, 11

1, 6, 7, 9, 10, 14, 15