Shane Ciurleo’s full preview and best bets Doomben

Shane Ciurleo’s full preview and best bets Doomben

Kelly Schweida trainer of Shane’s best bet today.Photo Courtesy Ross Stevenson.

Back to Doomben today, our favorite Metropolitan venue, for Midweek racing. The track is rated a Soft 5 with the rail at 8.5m the entire course.  Small but competitive fields engaged here, as usual we look to find a bit value for punters!

 

 

 

 

BEST WIN R8 N3 DOUBLE SUPERLATIVE $1.90 bet now

 

BEST EACH WAY R3 N2 OUR RED DOG $4.60 bet now

 

BEST ROUGHIE R1 N7 HAD ME AT HELLO $11 bet now

 

 

Race 1

Only the 7 runners engaged here in the first, but a very even affair.  Speed from 7 HAD ME AT HELLO who can lead from gate 3. She returned to her best last time, albeit in a BM58 at Warwick.  She’s not the worst hope in this if she can lead on her terms and give a kick. 1 MAGNUS COR the horse to beat, she should be able to settle 1 out 1 back here and get her chance here. 4 SOFT TOP is racing really well, she does get back in her races though, which me be a disadvantage here.

Numbers: 7 – 1 – 4 – 2

Suggested Bet: Wide open race, happy to have a small 1×2 Each Way 7 HAD ME AT HELLO at $11 bet now, with the idea she gets an easy lead.

 

Race 2

Another small field engaged again here with just the 7 runners.  Not a race I’m keen to bet into here, but going with 8 JEN FROM MEYERS on top. She led them up and was just touch off late, when first up over 1200m. She should strip fitter here and being on speed will be an advantage. She has come up short enough though. 9 LILLIE EVANGALENE has drawn to trail the leader here and should get an economical run, she looks the value runner in a very even race.

Numbers: 9 – 8 – 3 – 10

Suggested Bet: Small 1 x 2 Each Way 9 LILLIE EVANGALENE $5 bet now

 

Race 3

3 ALL PLUCK has had 10 goes at breaking his maiden, with 5 minor placing’s.  His certainly not a betting proposition for me, but I can see him winning this.  I’m happy to be on 1 OUR RED DOG at the Each Way to price to knock off the favorite here. From the inside gate he can race right on speed, either lead or behind the leader, and be very hard to hold out.

Numbers: 1 – 3 – 10 – 7

Suggested Bet: 1 x 2 Each Way 1 OUR RED DOG $4.60 bet now

 

Race 4

The tough start to the day continues here, 8 horses with little exposed form. 7 MISHANI FERNANDO comes up a short priced favorite off an impressive 7L trial win.  The exposed form off his rivals is reasonably limited, so hard to bet against the favorite here.

Numbers:  7 – 8 – 12 – 2 

Suggested Bet: WIN 7 MISHANI FERNANDO $2.50 bet now

 

Race 5

Think this is a race that maps really well for 6 GRACIDA. I think from gate 1, M Cahill can sit on the back of 9 JEST EXCEL with 3 HIGH COST pushing on outside the leader to leave 10 LOVE A ROSE sitting 1×1.  I think this enables 6 GRACIDA to get the run of the race and get over the top of the leader late.

Numbers: 6 – 9 – 10 – 3

Suggested Bet: WIN 6 GRACIDA $3.70 bet now

 

Race 6

Similar set up for 4 PATRONIZING here to last start, and I expect the same result.  Expect 1 VIENNA ROYALE to come across and take up the running, with 1 PATRONIZING settling either behind it or 1 out 1 back in the running line. Those 2 look likely to run the quinella here again.

Numbers: 4 – 1 – 2 – 8

Suggested Bet: WIN 4 PATRONIZING $2.50 bet now

 

Race 7

1 PRINCE OF TIE led and got taken on a long way from home, then boxed on really well to beat all but SNEAKY GLANCE last time here.  I expect him to lead again here and be the hardest to beat.  3 SICARIO has put in 2 eye catching performances at Rockhampton, and can expect to see him running on onto the placing’s here.  7 GYPSY MISS should get a nice run from the trip and can place here.

Numbers: 1 – 3 – 7 – 2

Suggested Bet: WIN 1 PRINCE OF TIE $2.90 bet now

 

Race 8

3 DOUBLE SUPERLATIVE should just be winning this.  A huge drop in class from his last couple of assignments, $2 is a good enough price for me in this. 1 He’s A Natural looks to get the right run in transits to run second.

Numbers: 3 to beat 2

Suggested Bet: WIN 3 DOUBLE SUPERLATIVE $1.90 bet now