Shane Ciurleo’s full preview and best bets Sunshine Coast tomorrow

Shane Ciurleo’s full preview and best bets Sunshine Coast tomorrow

Ben Currie trains Shane’s value runner Publishing Power.

Corbould Park on the Sunshine Coast will host Saturdays QLD Metro racing, with the 3200m QLD CUP at Listed level the feature event.  The rail is in the true position, with the track rated a Soft 6 at time of writing.

 

 

 

BEST WIN R1 N2 TUMBLER $2.30 bet now

BEST EACH WAY R8 N10 PUBLISHING POWER $11 bet now

BEST ROUGHIE R9 N11 NATURAL BLACK $15 bet now

 

Race 1

I think we get the money early, with the BEST WIN BET of the day 2 TUMBLER.  She’s a serious horse who looks to have the measure of her competition here. She was put away after not handling the Eagle Farm track at Group 2 level during the winter carnival. Her main danger 1 IRISH CONSTABULARY has to contend with an outside gate which won’t be easy for 3kg claiming apprentice Step Lacey to navigate.  7 LIVE FAST is the one from the remainder of the field that, can beat the favorite, he’s the one.  Should get a gun run from the nice gate and will be in the finish.

Numbers: 2 – 7 – 1 – 5

Suggestion:  WIN BET 2 TUMBLER $2.30 bet now

 

Race 2

A ratings band 0 -70 race here, which has tossed up a difficult field to dissect.  1 SAGAMAMA comes back to 1200m after a 1350m & 1400m run this preparation. I prefer this horse over this trip, especially at this track where it can settle off the speed and rattle home.  D Browne rides this track well, and at the Each Way price it does appeal here. 10 MUDDY ROPE & 14 MR BON VIVANT have been competitive in their age & class, but step up here. Both look to have the ability to be in the finish. 3 SILIQUA has won stronger races than this, but prefer her at the shorter trips.

Numbers: 1 – 10 – 14 – 3

Suggested Bet 1 x 2 Each Way 1 SAGAMAMA $6.50 bet now

 

Race 3

Another difficult race here, with 15 runners facing the starter. Going for some value here with 3 TOP TONE at double figure odds.  His consistent type whom races on speed and his rarely far away. He has been competing in tougher races recently, and was a forgive last time out when wide and working on speed in the Eye Liner behind MONSIEUR GUSTAVE. He should be on speed here and will give a great sight.  7 BANDA SPICE, 6 BROTHERLY SECRET, 9 BUSHY & 10 SPUR LE JOUER to round out the minors.

Numbers: 3 – 10 – 9 – 7

Suggested Bet: Each Way 3 TOP TONE $11 bet now

 

Race 4

Expecting them to run along quickly early here, with plenty of speed runners engaged.  13 RED HOT MISS could be the one from off the speed that can get home over top of them late here.  She ran 2 very impressive races last prep, before returning from a spell over 1200m, where she hit the line well. Fitter here second up over 1200m with a good tempo, she is a really nice chance.  Keep an eye on the fluctuations of 1 BRING IT HOME POP late in betting. It was well-supported win winning last start, it will be interesting to see if the confidence levels from the stable are as high here. 2 ACCEPTILE & 3 SAXTON ROCK come through the same race, and can race well again here.

Numbers: 13 – 1 – 2 – 3

Suggested Bet: 1 x 2 Each Way 13 RED HOT MISS $7.50 bet now

 

Race 5

3 STEAMIN on top here by virtue of the better draw. I think he gets the perfect run in transit and looks a major player here.  2 ABOHAR is racing really well, only the tricky gate 13 is stopping me having her on top. One down in the weights that I think is over the odds is 13 HIGH DEGREE. The Smith team is low flying at the moment and this horse was super in winning her last 2 starts. I think it can finish in the top 3 here with a touch of luck.

Numbers: 3 – 2 – 13 – 9

Suggested Bet: BOX EXACTA 2,3,13

 

Race 6

Not much between 4 STELLA OMBRA & 7 BEAT STREET for me here, leaning slightly to 7 BEAT STREET at the each way. Travelled well behind a hot speed when sprinted too sharply for his rivals first up at Doomben.  Track, gate and distance all ticks in a suitable second up assignment here. 4 STELLA OMBRA back to 1200m on a wet track here is a big plus. She trucked down to Sydney 2 back, winning a BM78 on a Heavy 10, then travelled to Rockhampton when beaten 2.8L over 1300m in the Newmarket.  Conditions suit here, and will be in the finish.  14 OUR STORY, 6 BARNSEY can fight out the minor prizes.

Numbers: 7 – 4 – 6 – 14

Suggested Bet: Each Way 7 BEAT STREET $7 bet now

 

Race 7

The 3200m QLD CUP at Listed level, what a slogging go this will be! Honestly have no confidence here. Chris Waller has the likely favorite and leader in 5 RICHARD OF YORK.  2 starts back he led and was only touched off late, in the 3200m Stayers Cup at Randwick. His likely to adopt similar tactics here, and be hard to run down. 4 MY DIAMANTINE has been consistent through out the winter carnival, and is the main danger. She ran second to Supply And Demand last start, which has since won the Grafton Cup.  9 QUARTERMASTER will stay the journey, and is the value hope for the trifecta players. 1 EMERALD CITY for fourth.

Numbers: 5 – 4 – 9 – 1

Suggested Bet: Only if we are well in front early on… a place bet 9 QUATERMASTER at + $5

 

Race 8

Keen on this one Each way at Double figure odds, 10 PUBLISHING POWER.  He looks the fresh horse on the scene and one on the up.  Last preparation ran into the likes of OUR BEE BEE & NICCONOVA and acquitted himself really well.  He was produced first up over 800m at Ipswich, where he was allowed to find his feet early, before balancing up and dashing home late only to just miss catching the leader. He ran some very slick time that day, and on the nice spacious track here, will be the one flying down the crown.  Plenty of respect for 1 SUNDANCE, 2 OINK who have their fair share of class and ability, and look to get good runs here.

Numbers: 10 – 1 – 2 – 3

Suggested Bet: Each way 10 PUBLISHING POWER $11 bet now

 

Race 9

Hoping we are well in front by the last, Tough race to finish, and it will be vital to understand how the track is playing as we get late in the day.  A couple of southern performed horses look hard top beat here, 15 RESET ME I’M WILD and 10 MISS DUBOIS. Bevan Lamming has sent 15 RESET ME I’M WILD up here after a debut on speed maiden win. While 10 MISS DUBOIS has transferred from Patrick Payne to Matt Dunn.  11 NATURAL BLACK didn’t get a lot of clear galloping room in a very similar race to this last time out.  Drawn to get a soft run again here, hopefully the son of a gun Luke Dittman, can get him out in clear galloping room and could be a blow out chance at big odds.

Numbers: 11 – 15 – 10 – 3

Suggested Bet: 1 x 2 each Way 11 NATURAL BLACK $15 bet now