Bruce Clark’s updated full preview and best bets for Flemington today

Darren Weir trainer of Bruce’s best bet today at Flemington

Not your typical bulging Flemington meeting but it’s a winter good rated track and a clear Saturday morning. Rail 3m shouldn’t change much re your considerations.  And on reading from it’s no surprise the premiership contenders Williams and Mertens will ride winners.

BEST: Race 2 #5 SEA THE SPARKLE  $2.7 bet now

VALUE: Race 5 #3 ATLANTIC FOX  $17 bet now

 

 

 

Race 1: 2-5-6-8

The key here is assessing Weir’s UK import-the  former pacemaker –2 EBEDIYIN (betting says yes in from $4.4), UK form ties in with Kellstorm not that I think that’s relevant right now,  and looks so well graded and rated given overseas performances but also recent St Arnaud trial so the 1600m at BM 78 looks attractive, if not, stablemate 6 APPROVED ANGER fitter and ready. Respect Flemington records 5 GERVAIS  while  8 DOLLAR FOR DOLLAR excused from heavy track failure at Gawler.

Suggested: It’s a back Weir race. Go with 2 EBEDIYIN especially in a BM 78.  $3.3 bet now

 

 

Race 2: 5-6-1-3

Staying with the 5 SEA THE SPARKLE (Weir) to keep out 6 DIAPASON (Waller). Good race this with 1 HELL OR HIGHWATER (unbeaten 1600m) from back in form 3 DULVERTON. Not much between top two picks but think the maturing SEA THE SPARKLE ready to develop this campaign and showed that Sandown resuming. Not denying the unluckiness of DIAPASON lately there and with the claim so well placed, but have to make a call.

SUGGESTED: backing 5 SEA THE SPARKLE in a good little race.  $2.7 bet now

 

 

Race 3: 4-3-1-2

Ok so they revamp an old previously deleted race for late season 2Yo’s over 1800m and get a field of maidens and a seeming moral in 4 ANCHOR BID (Weir and Williams if you need any help), Good at 1600m last time and actually looks destined for better races in the spring over ground and this gets him going. 3 ST VADUZ goes from 1300m but looks placed well, 1 ANTIPAS can run into the placings while 2 JUSTICE FAITH is over odds but loom with place claims.

SUGGESTED: Take the shorts as 4 ANCHOR BID wins.  $1.55 bet now

 

 

Race 4: 8-6-4-1

The key pointer is Williams going with 8 PORTMAN. Won on 6 ORIENT LINE last week in the brave ride, but Portman holds a good 2nd-up record for good supporters Qatar racing and back to Flemington for Danny O’Brien is the way to go. 4 KEN’S DREAM is always competitive but not winning enough. 1 DEL PRADO not bad with claim and can run the place.

SUGGESTED: 8 PORTMAN with Williams your lead.  $2.45 bet now

 

 

Race 5: 3-7-5-11

A bit of entwined form through the Silver Bowl last time but putting that aside and finding value in 3 ATLANTIC FOX who is back from a tough 2000m run and shapes well for mine in an even race. With a different pace tempo that didn’t help him last time. Obviously, 7 RUBY SEA missed out here last time and can bounce off that but why can’t 5 FIRST APPROACH or 11 BALCAZAR while respecting 10 ST FRANCO through different form line.

SUGGESTED:  Like the value 3 ATLANTIC FOX.  $17 bet now

 

 

Race 6: 8-2-4-6.

Back to straight racing and the variables involved in assessing that but eliminating a few by going with Williams on 8 DIVINE MR ARTIE who has little luck last time and maybe better placed here. 2 RUETIGGER and 4 MOSS ‘N’ DALE (maybe wants wetter) players but the value in 6 FAST CASH. Wide race.

SUGGESTED: Open but  8 DIVINE MR ARTIE good option.  $4.8 bet now

 

 

Race 7:  8-1-5-2

Weir has 4 here and any of 1 KILLARNEY KID (after missing a fortnight ago), 8 PACODALI emerging and 9 MASTER ZEPHYR (back on track can win). Respect 4 KILIMANJARO who was terrific off return from long break and has been well backed here. Obviously, 2 EXTRA ZERO is so competitive Flemington (anywhere) in these races. And of course respecting,  5 MAGIC CONSUL to maintain good form.

Suggested: 8 PACADOLI is going places.  $5 bet now

 

 

Race 8: 1-5-4-2

If you see weir backing one up back it. That’s 1 MOONLITES CHOICE who attacked line last week Caulfield for Williams who stays here despite a weight on page advantage to 4 PRINCESS OF QUEENS who hasn’t run since beating her home at the Valley and has a weight advantage (on paper). I don’t think that matters here. 5 SWAMPLAND is the value, month between runs, slow out and very well last time and this Suits. Think tempo of race may give 2 INVICTUM DOMINA a chance to be brave.

SUGGESTED: Staying with 1 MONLITES CHOICE.  $3.3 bet now

 

 

Race 9: 10-1-4-2

Like the blinkers added to 10 MISTY GIRL. Huge debut followed by a so-so in town debut. Race shapes well for it if gear works well. 1 ASHLOR is perhaps better than most of these but needs luck, With that, you get odds to match. 4 KNOWABLE has prepped up well for this return.  But respecting 2 HIGHLAND BEAT and 3 INVINCIBLE AL (plus others).

SUGGESTED: many hopes but some value in 10 MISTY GIRL.  $12 bet now

 

QUADDIE:

2-4-6-8

1-4-8

1-2-4-5

1-2-3-4-10

$120 for 50%

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