Huge day at Flemington- Snowy’s full preview

Huge day at Flemington- Snowy’s full preview

FLEMINGTON Saturday, September 15

 

Makybe Diva Stakes day, naturally traditionally an important spring pointer meeting – albeit mightily competitive – with many here either resuming or on the run through to features. Rail back true from 10m last time and races tends to be more tempo related here than “bias’ though never a disadvantage to race forward. Been cold week, not much rain (could take plenty) so will be firm into the 3 categories.

 

BEST BET: Race 2 #1 ROYAL SYMPHONY  $2.2 bet now

BEST VALUE: Race 3 #13 PURE PRIDE  $18 bet now

 

Race 1: 1-3-5-12

 

Hard not to like the run against the males of 1 JORDA in San Domenico and perhaps should have finished closer. Respecting the straight track form in the first campaign of 3 PLOVERSET by the same token. 5 ROOMOOZ was excellent at Moonee Valley through the line first-up and 12 MISS VIXENwill improve off return behind Blondie mid-week.

 

Suggested: Shapes well for 1 JORDA especially drawing out – no disadvantage up straight for mine.  $3 bet now

 

Race 2: 1-5-9-3

 

It’s a good race with 1 ROYAL SYMPHONY out – competitive Sydney form and emerging talent looking at 1400m but they will all need to be anywhere near their best game to beat the favorite. Good respect for the Weir pair 5 CLIFF’S EDGE and 9 SEBFIRE who went to Adelaide last time with both shaping well towards 1400m.3 HUALALAI is drawn to get a good run but good hopes 4 MURAAHIB and 7 TOGA PICTA (Gold Standard form).

 

Suggested: staying with the class 1 ROYAL SYMPHONY  $2.2 bet now

 

Race 3: 13-4-6-12

 

Departing a few of my favorites here for the value in 13 PURE PRIDE who had no luck resuming and Melham stays. Back to Flemington 1400m is a positive and like the odds in a deep race. 4 CHOCOLATE HOLIC – stunning 1400m record, should have beaten Grand Rosso third run but first on firm ground for Weir. Through that race comes 6 SNITZSON. 12 MR SNEAKY was good to us beating 14 THEANSWERMYFRIEND last time and both in this of course.

 

Suggested: Days best value 13 PURE PRIDE.  $18 bet now

 

Race 4: 4-3-2-9

 

3 REDKIRK WARRIOR was brilliant first-up in the autumn beating 4 VOODOO LAD in Newmarket who was also first up but this time has had the cleansing run and big win after typically over-racing at Caulfield. Both could be The Everest bound but for this learning VOODOO LAD2 SCALES OF JUSTICE is high quality and had plenty of time at The Bool with some trips away with Weir’s team for some good work. 9 SO SI BON is racing well and weight plus on Voodoo Lad so would not surprise.

 

Suggested: 4 VOODOO LAD with a fitness edge.  $4 bet now

 

Race 5: 2-6-1-5

 

No surprise this is a good race. Going with 2 JUKEBOX who resumed in awesome winning style at Caulfield.6 CATCHY just missed resuming with some things against but lost no admirers. 1 SUMMER PASSAGE will get lost in thoughts but liked what we saw in Sydney albeit on wet ground. Nothing wrong or flukey about 5 OVERSHARE’S Valley win but certainly other hopes 9 ESPERANCE, 10 LIMESTONE and 11 BOOKER.

 

Suggested: Winners keep winning – 2 JUKEBOX.  $4.6 bet now

 

Race 6: 1-5-3-11

 

Back to the girl’s suits 1 I AM A STAR – who is already proven at G1 here at Flemington. 5 JENNIFER LYNN was good resuming and drawn to advantage 1400m now. 3 OREGON’S DAY should get into a three wide trailing lane which is no disadvantage at Flemington while 11 SWAMPLAND has a better draw to turn it around on that horse at least from last time. Be a few go off overs here including 6 FLYING JESSand emergency 18 PURE PRIDEif gets run.

 

Suggested: Stick with the class 1 I AM A STAR.  $5 bet now

 

Race 7: 1-2-6-9

 

Doubt we are going to get too many surprises here. 1 HARTNELL showed his versatility – not to mention his class to beat home 2 BLACK HEART BART in a procession like Lawrence Stakes resuming and be surprised if they don’t run the Q here again. Expecting 6 HUMIDOR at this trip 3rd run in ready to start being more competitive especially at Flemington. 9 HEY DOC will wear ear muffs and is the G1 1600m winner here in Guineas. Proved what credentials in Memsie. And will be watching long range Cup spruik of mine late from 7 VENTURA STORM.

 

Suggested: Back Hartnell and then exacts Black Heart Bart and Humidor.  $1.8 bet now

 

Race 8: 12-13-1-3

 

It’s the Team Williams v Weir show here with them providing 10 runners and obviously 1 ALMANDIN was huge resuming at the Valley and is obviously a superior long range stayer. But thinking the weight pull for BM80 rater 12 YOGI is dangerous, also has Pacodali form (eg Alman in) and was strong 1800m to 2500m. 13 CROCODILE ROCK (BM 79) gets weight relief with that and there’s the Alward form already franked in Sydney since. 3 KILLARNEY KID is no star but ever reliable in this distance range with a fitness edge.

 

Suggested: 12 YOGI should be mentioned in same breath as Almandin except for today!  $8 bet now

 

Race 9: 3-10-12-7             

      

Wide finish but profiles well for 3 AMELIE’S STAR who won 3rd up last campaign as is here.10 COOL CHAP was excellent resuming and gets out from 1400m here and was good 2nd-up last campaign around the then in form Big Duke.7 HARDHAM had no luck resuming nor did 18 TIAMO GRACE 2nd-up. Respect if gets run but also think regulars like 5 EXTRA ZERO and 12 JACQUINOT BAY have hoped.

 

Suggested: Load quaddie but happy to make AMELIE’S STAR top pick.  $3.8 bet now

 

EARLY QUADDIE

1-3-5-6-11-17

1 (2-6)

1-12-13

3-5-7-10-12-17-18