IPSWICH 27 – 9 – 17
Rail Position: +2.5m Entire Course.
Track Condition: Good 4
BEST WIN: R7 N2 COUNT CUMANI
BEST EACH WAY: R8 N6 FINEST SAILING
BEST ROUGHIE: R6 N10 PRICELY SUM
Race 1
1 THE AMATEUR should lead here an looks the horse to beat. He is very prohibitive odds, maybe take him in a few multis. 2 GREAT MOGUL is the quinella horse.
Race 2
*Disclaimer I have a share in 4 NOW YOU SEE.
She is under the odds at $2.10, but she will be ridden aggressive and if she can find the front with only 51.5kg, she will take some running down. The speed map looks tricky and it could set it up for a swooper. If that happens, the horse to beat is 2 ISLA TRISTINA. She will likely get back and be hitting the line, and a repeat of her Sydney form has her going close here.
Numbers: 2 – 4 -1 – 3
Bet: BOX EXACTA 1-2-4 Can’t bet against your own horse!
Race 3
*Disclaimer I have a share in 5 BREAK TIME. 1 IGNITE THE LIGHT picks itself on its current form. The blinkers and tongue tie come off here, which should allow him to settle and race more comfortably. He is the clear horse to beat. 5 BREAK TIME was a handy first up winner here, and should enjoy a trail in behind the speed again. If there is a chink in the armor of the favorite late, 5 BREAK TIME will be motoring home.
Numbers: 1 – 5 – 7 – 3
BET: QUINELLA & EXACTA 1-5
Race 4
Happy to be with the favorite here, who is good form, 10 PINCH PASSION. He has been consistent in stronger grade than this, and with a lack of obvious tempo here, can muster enough speed early to box seat and put them away.
Numbers: 10 – 1 – 9 – 3
BET: WIN 10 PINCH PASSION
Race 5
2 BERAHT has drawn to lead or box seat and be hard to beat here over 1000m. He has looked good in winning in 2 runs since being gelded, can go on with it here.
Numbers: 2 – 4 – 6 – 3
Bet: WIN 2 BERAHT
Race 6
10 PRINCELY SUM form last preparation on paper, looks super beating home recent winners ADORADANCER & REDEX, and chasing home Listed winner PARDOE. First run this preparation was good, just tiring late when first up at 1200m. He stays at 1200m again which is ideal, strips fitter, good gate and good jock. Well worth am Each Way play at the price.
Numbers: 10 – 7 – 1 – 13
Bet: EACH WAY 10 PRINCELY SUM
Race 7
Looks the perfect race for 2 COUNT CUMANI. Put together 2 good wins in QLD, before a very nice run when 5th at Randwick last start, this looks his race.
Numbers: 2 – 5 – 10 – 4
Bet: WIN 2 COUNT CUMANI
Race 8
Tough race to end the day, I thought 1 SICARIO was the best horse, but has drawn wide, which is a concern. 8 REDHAZE could be the improver here, should be able to settle closer to the speed here, and with 51 kg can give a sight. 6 FINEST SAILING was a good last start maiden winner, the step up to 1666m suits. Hard to split, but I think 6 FINEST SAILING is a great EW play at the price, and will BOX the above in a Quinella and Exacta for some value hunting.
Numbers: 6 – 1 – 8 – 2
Bet: BOX exacta & quinella 1 – 6 – 8 EACH WAY 6 FINEST SAILING