Snowy Clark has Caulfield Cup day covered

Snowy Clark has Caulfield Cup day covered

CAULFIELD CUP DAY October 21.

BEST BET: Race 8 #1 HUMIDOR

BEST VALUE: Race 6 #2 BURNING FRONT

 

 

 

Race 1: 6-3-5-10

OUR CROWN WITNESS thrashed SHAMAR (and meets it 1kg better) at Geelong stepping out past 1200m and onto a dry. Led and most impressive. – top pick clearly. COUNTERPLAY backs up after chasing another of Gai (and Adrian’s – Invincible Star) last Sat but fit and ready for 1400m now. SUPER SNOB holding good enough form into long campaign. SWORN EVIDENCE off beating Pinot two runs back and back out to 1400m is the value.

SUGGESTED: Believe in OUR CROWN WITNESS

 

Race 2: 8-1-3-2

BEAU GESTE early favourite here and off Roman Consul run when wide and can see reason but stable just not hitting boards in Melbourne. Respecting, not tipping. Like the gamble on LORD SUNDOWNER graduating off super impressive on-pace provincials wins. SNITZEPEG capitalised on good run at Flemington to win strongly as working into a campaign (typically Weir like). ÉCLAIR SUNSHINE has been the early firmer, got a bit wrong in Guineas Prelude but form lines up with Royal Symphony but chances galore, OCTABELLO (Black Sail form), WOULDA THOUGHT SO (brilliant at Ballarat).

SUGGESTED: Plenty of hopes but like what see in the progress of LORD SUNDOWNER.

 

Race 3: 12-5-6-1

It’s come a bit quickly for TEODORA but loved her tenacity to go from strong Maiden to tough BM64 Bendigo powering through the line. Will get 2000m and this is her race. HIYAAM was swept away (like they all were) by Bring Me Roses at Flemington but was sound nonetheless. PINOT had one alley and good run Flemington with blinkers off, more luck needed from outside gate now. ONE MORE HONEY has been good in G1 and G2 company Sydney.

SUGGESTED: Very keen TEODORA.

 

Race 4: 2-4-7-1

Weir again here with CLIFF’S EDGE to overturn the impressive victor at Flemington in MAIN STAGE (who has been beaten by TAVISTOCK ALLEY) previous Flemington. Just think roll forward toughness of Cliff’s Edge the advantage here while respecting the other two. TANGLED has had the G1 (?) 2000m run in Sydney

SUGGESTED: Good race but CLIFF’S EDGE with tactical advantage.

 

Race 5: 8-11-10-1

SAMOVARE much better placed here than pressure draining run in the WFA Underwood. Works over into good on speed trail here I’d reckon. WHEAL LEUISRE is on the up though limited depth in what was behind it in restricted Caulfield race but it was the nature of the win that was impressive. KIWIA better suited Caulfield than Murtoa, race escaped it and ASSIGN is fitter now third run in – where he won two campaigns back (last campaign was only 2 runs).

SUGGESTED: SAMOVARE to win.

 

Race 6: 2-6-4-11

Don’t like race much but BURNING FRONT is 4/4 at Caulfield building to fitness required. Likely to control as he likes here and good gamble. GRANDE ROSSO will find this easier than G1 last time (first time beaten at course and distance). TASHBEEH also to get good run and DANISH TWIST may be best of closers though while since run.

SUGGESTED: Gambling on BURNING FRONT finding best.

 

Race 7: 2-9-8-10

Pressure race with Melbourne speedster SNITTY KITTY and Randwick track record holder SUPER TOO to match motors. For that reason going to head towards MISSROCK to get the stalking run, strong and fit and back to the 1000m pressure. PROPERTY resumes, the only 3YO lining up here and also maps well.

SUGGESTED: Tough race, gambling MISSROCK

 

Race 8: 1-3-16-15

Very keen HUMIDOR to produce an Australian Cup/Makybe Diva like performance here, well weighted under handicap conditions, a very slight tinker with gear and watch Turnbull replay and see him through the line, itching for 2400m and beyond with the genius of Weir. Hard not to see JOHANNES VERMEER last week and back up form (unlike most Europeans) is exemplary. AMELIA’S STAR is in the zone and peaking and is a superior 2000m plus horse in on 51kg. if you like her, must rate HARLEM who reverts to blinkers (wore them in Naturalism) and they meet on same terms again. Hard to leave out BONNEVAL and best value INFERENCE.

SUGGESTED: Going for the big cigar with HUMIDOR

 

Race 9: 1-2-11-8

FOXPLAY and GLOBAL GLAMOUR resumes battles here, alleys points to Foxplay, but Global Glamour has trialled up well and obviously a Thousand Guineas winner this track. COOL PASSION backs up from good win 1200m last week, 1400m no problem. NOW OR LATER was excellent closing of in the Blazer to nail MERRIEST. But other hopes, typically tough mares race.

SUGGESTED: Working around the G1 class at the top 1 and 2.

 

Race 10: 3-1-6-9

Got this down to two key players, NIETA – with the glaringly obvious REDZEL form and FUHYRK who had excuses last time and well graded here. One of the two can win and long gap to remainder. For sake of that I’ve got the unbeaten CRYSTAL FOUNTAIN and CONCHITA in placings.

SUGGESTED: NIETTA to win, save on quinella with FUHYRK

QUADDIE:

2-8-9-10

1-2-3-7-9-11-15-16

1-2

1-3

$64 for 50%