RANDWICK

SATURDAY 28 OCTOBER

 

TRACK:                        HEAVY 8 (6.05) 10am Friday 27 October                  RAIL:    TRUE

 

 

BEST BET:        Race 2             No.2     DAGNY

VALUE BET:     Race 7             No.11   MALMAS

 

 

TREAD CAREFULLY

WITH SO MUCH RAIN AROUND-

WATCH HOW THE TRACK IS PLAYING AND ROLL WITH IT

 

 

Race 1

2 – 1 – 5 – 4

 

2 GROUNDBREAK is in good form with two wins on the trot and both horses he has defeated at those starts came out and won at their next run. He should position up handy and give a sight. 1 The Mighty Fed went awful last Saturday but I’m giving up just yet. The wet track should help as will coming back 200m in trip. 5 Memento and 4 Cedarwood are both by the sire Your Song and early indications are his progeny get through the wet extremely well.

 

 

Race 2

2 – 9 – 1 – 4

 

2 DAGNY was a shade disappointing last week but gets the quick back up and with the rain around her chances are always enhanced. I think the three weeks between runs just cam against her last week. 9 I Am Serious is the favourite but to my eye well under his true odds coming off a midweek win albeit he fell in. The drop in weight will help and his ability to handle wet surfaces makes him a major player. 1 Just Dreaming is likely to revert back to previous tactics of being on speed and she is capable of giving a big sight.

 

 

Race 3

3 – 1 – 6 – 9

 

Looks a two horse race on paper with the favourite 1 Tactical Advantage and my top selection 3 I THOUGHT SO. The David Pfieffer gelding 3 I thought So is dropping back to 1000m which he and I are hoping will allow the big fella to relax a bit more in the run rather than getting on the bit and pulling. From a good gate he should stalk the leaders and be ready to produce. I know I have tipped him both times in and we haven’t collected but this is D-Day. 1 Tactical Advantage is having first run since joining the Joe Pride stable. He is a quality animal having won five of his 10 starts and has trialled well leading in here. The wet track will only enhance his prospects.

 

 

Race 4

8 – 3 – 10 – 7

 

8 READY FOR DANGER is from the powerful Matthew Dunn stable and turns up here for his first crack at a highway race having won three of his five career starts. Last start he cruised away with an outstanding win albeit at his home track of Murwillumbah by almost seven lengths. He is by renowned wet track sire More Than Ready so the rain around shouldn’t bother him at all. 3 Dalmatia Prince was beaten five lengths last start but that was by the Gai Waterhouse trained highly talented Stonebrook so forget about the margin. He will position up handy to the speed and give a good sight. Matthew Dunn’s other two runners 7 Devil’s Fire and 10 Dia De Reyes look the other major players.

 

 

Race 5

2 – 8 – 9 – 5

 

Hard to find a reason to knock 2 STONEBROOK who has won four from four and in doing so taken a step up each time and handled it with ease. This race is probably his biggest jump and leading all the way at Randwick is a different kettle of fish than where he has won his previous starts. He will likely lead and roll along and fight so it won’t be easy for the others to get past him. 8 Passage Of Time is a winner of three from seven and would only need to repeat one of his few runs to be a major player here. He has early speed so he should be able to get into a stalking role on the favourite and with the track currently rated he will love it as he’s two from two on that type of surface.

 

 

Race 6

4 – 7 – 1 – 2

 

4 FIRSTHAND returned from a four month spell three weeks ago and was very good attacking the line to be beaten just over a half length. He looked healthy first up but showed signs the run would be a benefit and given a few weeks to recover from the run should make him a major player here. 7 Roguish looks some value here second up from a five month spell. He is undefeated second up and although he finished 12^th of 13 first up it was over the 1000m and he was only beaten three lengths. 1 Zumbelina is the quality and must be respected as she comes here off a five week freshen up.

 

 

Race 7

11 – 4 – 7 – 5

 

11 MALMAS looks some value here for mine as he will only carry the feather weight of 53kg and turns up with some solid enough form for this type of race. He has been racing in Melbourne having had two runs this time back in resulting in a win at Pakenham and then a solid fifth at Caulfield. The sting out of the track should give him a terrific chance to figure at nice odds. 4 Zaunkonig has drawn nicely in gate three and is expected to race handy and be in a position to strike at anytime. 7 Karavali and 5 Wu Gok should both be fitter here and handle the expected wet track.

 

 

Race 8

13 – 16 – 3 – 6

 

13 SIR PLUSH is gunning for three wins on the trot and is likely to be hard to beat again but in those runs he has been able to lead and control the race and that may happen again but there is certainly a few others that could throw a spanner in the works. He handles the sting out of tracks and with 54.5kg on his back will take some catching. The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott stable have two chances in 16 Cabeza De Vaca and the most improved galloper over the past six months in Sydney 3 Supply And Demand. 16 Cabeza De Vaca is first up for almost 10 months but looked ready with a recent barrier trial win over 1200m. He handles wet ground and should settle handy enough to the speed. 3 Supply And Demand won the Caloundra Cup 2400m and Grafton Cup 2350m at his past two outings back in July but a recent barrier trial win by a bog space suggests to me this bloke is still improving and even though this race is only 1400m don’t be surprised if he runs a terrific race.

 

 

Race 9

8 – 6 – 11 – 5

 

8 INTERLOCUTER looks clearly the one to beat with the only query albeit a big one is if he will handle a wet track. He seems to have returned this preparation a big stronger animal with two very good wins and in real terms his record should say that although he did lose on protest first up in a controversial decision. Simple equation is if he handles the wet he is likely too good. 6 Imposing Lass has been freshened up since racing keenly and weakening late in the Angst Stakes. She will roll forward and make he own luck. 11 Jaminzah turns up after a forgive run last start when the jockey went in instead of out and ran into backsides so expect a sharp improvement here. 5 New Tipperary is a major player but wants the track to dry out as he is far more effective on former ground.