Shane Ciurleo’s preview & best Doomben

Brisbane Racing Club @ Doomben Saturday, 28 April 2018

 

Rail Position: +5 metres Entire Course

Track Condition: Soft 5

Weather: Fine

Penetrometer: 5.34

 

Best Bets:

WIN R2 N3 KINGS OF LEON

WIN R8 N1 IMPENDING

EACH WAY R5 N2 ONLY WANNA SING

ROUGHIE R3 N6 MONTEUX

 

 

Race 1

A BM85 for the stayers over 2030m, and another typically even event to kick off the day. The interesting reference here is J Lloyd is jumping of last start winner 4 BACKHOUSE BILLY to ride 2 GREAT GLENN who was top selection before scratching. Now with 6 STANLEY who I think can take out a very even race.

Numbers: 6 – 1 – 4 – 5

Bet: EACH WAY 6 STANLEY

 

Race 2

3 KINGS OF LEON looks very well placed here to kick off a QLD campaign. He went through his grades nicely last preparation, including a good Randwick win and is a winner of 4 of his 12 starts.  He resumes here off 2 good trials and should be ripe to win first up here.  4 BONSHO normally races better second up, but she can certainly race well in this from the good gate.

Numbers: 3 – 4 – 10 – 1

Bet: WIN 3 KINGS OF LEON

 

Race 3

I can make a strong case for 6 MONTEUX, and have had something on him EW at the big price. He looks to get a nice economical run from the gate and gets his chance here. He was around the mark in OPEN and BM90 grade last time, and I expect him to be competitive in Class 6 grade today.

Numbers: 6 – 10 – 4 – 8

Bet: EACH WAY 6 MONTEUX

 

Race 4

4 QUICK KETCH looks a good EW hope here in what looks a race with only a few winning hopes. His form through horses like Mr Marbeloous and Publishing Power see’s him right to a race like this.  1 MANAYA has by passed a Group race to come here, and she has a touch of class.  She will need to at her best from the wide gate with 59kg, but her class will likely carry her. Her runs behind AMANAAT,  7 PRIVLAKA are superior form lines and she is the horse to beat.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 3 – 16

Bet: WIN 1 MANAYA (Save 4 QUICK KETCH)

 

Race 5

3 winning hopes here in the listed DEELLRELLO STAKES. 1 MISHANI HUSTLER is a tough on speed runner who continues to win, he looks the speed here again and a good hope. 11 SHAMURT was an excellent winner second up, he maps sweetly to race just behind the leaders and has some genuine talent. 2 ONLY WANNA SING is the horse I want to be on. A couple of keys to him include the blinkers going on for the first time, and the fact that he gets on a dry track for the first time since his debut run. He ran second to EF TROOP on debut, and a repeat of that will almost be good enough. He’s the best price of the 3 winning hopes and a great Each Way play.

Numbers: 2 – 1 – 11 – 13

Bet: EACH WAY 2 ONLY WANNA SING

 

Race 6

Cracking 3 year old, with the 2 main winning hopes being 1 SNITZ and 3 MARSUPIAL. I’ve gone with 3 MARSUPIAL with the benefit of the good gate. J Byrne can have him in the right place rat the right time, and he gets the advantage in the run over his rivals. He ran slick sectionals in winning second up and is ready for the 1350m now.  1 SNITZ was good in the Country Championships in Sydney, and that form has him a top 2 chance here. 2 MISHANI BULLIT was impressive first up, but rises in grade against his 2 main rivals.

Numbers: 3 – 1 – 2 – 7

Bet: WIN 3 MARSUPIAL

 

Race 7

1 TORVIL has come up very short here from gate 20 and is one for the thrill seekers at the quotes. He certainly has plenty of ability, but he has to much against for me to be taking the price.  I’m happy to play a couple of small win bets here, with numbers 12 PLAY THAT SONG & 15 IMPULSIVE. 12 PLAY THAT SONG likely wants further, but she has enough tactical speed to make use of gate 1 and with a touch of luck in running can be in the finish. So to can 15 IMPULSIVE, who copped a terrible ride last start. With a better run in transit here, she can certainly make her presence felt.

Numbers: 12 – 15 – 1 – 8

Bet: WIN BETS 12 PLAY THAT SONG & 15 IMPULSIVE

 

Race 8

The Group 2 VICTORY STAKES sees the return to QLD of last year’s Stradbroke Handicap winner 1 IMPENDING. This horse has bloomed since his QLD trip last year, and his 2 runs in Sydney since have been outstanding. He is the clear best horse in the race, and I expect him to win and win well, and stamp himself the horse to beat here gain during the during the carnival.

Numbers: 1 – 5 – 4 – 2

Bet: WIN 1 IMPENDING

 

Race 9

A competitive 3yr race for the colts and geldings to round out a big day’s racing, with 2 VILLERMONT the early favorite.  He looks like a colt that might want further, so expect him to be near the speed. I’m not keen on him at the price, but he will be thereabouts.  8 DARK DREAM looks a progressive type, who gets to the 1600m with a sense of timing about his preparation. He hit he line well last time, and from gate 1 he gets a “suck run” and can be produced late to get over the top.  As long as he gets the slice of luck needed to get in the clear I think he’s the one.

Numbers: 8 – 2 – 4 – 5

Bet: EACH WAY 8 DARK DREAM

 

 

 

 

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