Shane Ciurleo’s preview & best Gold Coast

Gold Coast Turf Club Wednesday 09 May 2018

 

Rail Position: True Entire Course.

Track Condition: Heavy 9

Weather: Showers

Penetrometer: 6.5

 

Best Bets:

WIN RACE 7 NUMBER 4 DIVINE MESSENGER

EACH WAY RACE 6 NUMBER 1 DAZZLING RED

ROUGHIE RACE 3 NUMBER 11 LUCKY FEELING

 

 

Race 1

The first of 10 races on the card kicks off with a 2 yr old maiden.  Tough start to the day with a number of first starters and a HEAVY track makes it difficult to line up.  With 1 FAT MAX totally unseen but having fixed odds support yesterday, it must have shown something, but impossible to tip. In with the 11 WILO TITTO, on the strength of its trial on rain affected ground, with next to no confidence.

Numbers: 11 – 1 – 9 – 3                   

Bet: SMALL WIN 11 WILO TITTO if your keen enough

 

Race 2

Another 2 year old maiden here, and equally as difficult to dissect. Only 4 of the 13 runners have raced, with all 4 going well enough but not super to be standouts. The trial of 8 CHAMPAGNE DAISY on a soft track was good and expect her to race well first up here off that. She draws well and being a J Lloyd ridden, D VAN DYKE trained galloper, the market will be a good guide. I have her on top from 13 PEPPI LA FEW, who chased home SUNLIGHT in her only race start.

Numbers: 8 – 13 – 2 – 3                  

BET: QUINELA & EXACTA 2,8,13

 

Race 3

Liked the run of 1 HEARTS LIFTED on debut at Grafton, she won’t be a maiden for long. Carrying 59kgs on a heavy track is a slight concern, but she looks hardest to beat. I give a good hope to 11 LUCKY FEELING down in the weights. She was first up for over a year at Toowoomba, when working hard in the run, before tiring late to be beaten into 5th. She has seen a heavy track previously and was beaten 4L, on the strength of her last effort she may have come back better this preparation and is an EW hope.

Numbers: 11 – 1 – 4 – 5                  

BET: EACH WAY 11 LUCKY FEELING

 

Race 4

Keen on 6 ABLE FUN here for J Byrne and B Guy. This very well bred son of SNITZEL has found a winnable race here. He has trialed well on soft tracks, and strikes a heavy track, which looks suitable. If he brings his trial form, he wins.

Bet: 6 – 1 – 9 – 2                 

Bet: WIN 6 ABLE FUN

 

Race 5

Looks to be a grueling 2200m on a heavy track, zeroing in on numbers 1,3,8 here. 1 TISANI GREY is a big strong gelding who raced on speed last start with the blinkers on and was too strong late and expect him be in the money here. 3 ANGELAS BEAUTY looks suited back up in trip and the wet track no issue. 8 ANDANTE is a lightly raced Encosta De Lago filly, who got the job done last time, in weak grade and only just, and can go on with it.

Numbers: 1 – 3 – 8 – 4        

Bet: Small WIN 1 TISANI GREY with Box EXACTA 1,3,8

 

Race 6

I’m against the market trend here, 2 MISS EXFACTOR has been well backed early, while 1 DAZZLING RED has drifted a touch early.  I think these 2 have the race between them, but I’m with 1 DAZZLING RED. The Tony Sears trained gelding has raced well on rain affected ground and has beaten 2 MISS EX FACTOR when they last met. The price discrepancy is too large, and 1 DAZZLING RED is a good each way play at the price.

Numbers: 1 – 2 – 6 – 4                   

BET: EACH WAY 1 DAZZLING RED

 

Race 7

Field decimated by scratching’s but feel the $2.50 on offer for 4 DIVINE MEESENGER is a good enough price. His run behind WHYPEEO on the heavy track last time out was good. He actually followed the favorite 3 COOROOI CHASE in the run last start and beat that galloper fair and square. He looks an absolute good thing to do the same again here, and it’s the clear horse to beat.

Numbers: 4 – 3 – 8 – 7                    

BET: WIN 4 DIVINE MESSENGER

 

Race 8

Another race hammered by scratching’s, with only 6 runners left to go around here. 6 AGGRAVATE has raced well on wet tracks and is a winner on the heavy over 900m. The slight question mark is the race being over 1100m, but I’m happy to be on him in this field, He is rock hard fit and drops from listed grade to this.

Numbers: 6 – 3 – 1 – 5                    

Bet: WIN 6 AGGRAVATE

 

Race 9

Looks a race with 2 main winning hopes here, 4 BOOM BOOM EPIC & 5 TAVISTOCK ABBEY. Both these 3 year olds step up to a suitable trip and have handled rain affected ground in the past. They look to be on a path to staying races during the carnival, so expecting both to race extremely well here. Hard to split them, with a slight leaning to 5 TAVISTOCK ABBEY who’s raced some very good Victorian 3 year olds.

Numbers: 5 – 4 – 1 – 9                    

Bet: WIN 5 TAVISTOCK ABBEY

 

Race 10

Another race cruelled with scratching’s, and I’m with the outsider of the field 7 ELJETEM.  He’s run at Toowoomba 2 back was excellent, making good ground late behind the smart BERGERAC. Last start, he settled a mile back and made no impression on a day that suited on speed runners at Doomben. He gets in well at the weight with the 3kg claim for Sally Sweeney, won’t be far off them on settling and is a winner on the heavy. He is a genuine blow out hope in the small field.

Numbers: 7 – 2 – 1 – 9                    

Bet: EACH WAY 7 ELJETEM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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