Shane Ciurleo’s 10,000 day preview & best bets

Shane Ciurleo’s 10,000 day preview & best bets

Brisbane Racing Club @ Doomben Saturday, 12 May 2018

 

Rail Position: True Entire Course.

Track Condition: Soft

Weather: Fine

Penetrometer: 5.92

 

Best Bets:

EACH WAY R4 N6 RISING RED

EACH WAY R3 N3 PAYROLL

 

Race 1

I think we have 2 runners hers that look to have a touch of class on their rivals, 12 TANGO RAIN & 2 HAVASAY.  Expecting 12 TANGO RAIN to lead, and he looks to have a margin on his major danger 2 HAVASAY as they straighten for home. I’m with 2 HAVASAY to run him down, I really liked the way he hit the line last time against quality opposition. While 12 TANGO RAIN leading and winning wouldn’t surprise, he hasn’t exactly hit the line recently, so happy to be against him at the price.

Numbers: 2 – 12 – 13- 11                

Bet: WIN 2 HAVASAY

 

Race 2

 

My speed map has 1 URBAN KNIGHT coming across to lead them up, with 4 OINK also on speed. It really does map well for 4 OINK here, and he gets his chance to break through. He has raced well on the 7 day back up previously, and he looks the horse to beat. 1 URBAN KNIGHT looks ready to go here third up and will give a great sight.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 7 – 11               

Bet: EACH WAY 1 URBAN KNIGHT

 

Race 3

I’m very keen on the chances of 3 PAYROLL here for Richard Lamming & Regan Bayliss. She brings excellent form for this, and she was a Group 3 winner at Caulfield in December. She looks perfectly placed here third up and is dropping from Group 1 grade chasing ALIZEE. 12 SHEISWHATSHEIS should race on speed and give them something to catch. 10 AQUA VITE is drawn well and looks to get a nice run and should be in the finish.

Numbers: 3 – 10 – 12 – 4                

Bet: EACH WAY 3 PAYROLL

 

Race 4

Really good race, and I’m keen on the chances of 6 RISING RED. He can quickly offset the gate by rolling forward and can control the speed. He was a very big run on speed at Group 3 level, and if he runs up to that, he is going to be hard to beat. 12 GOATHLAND is another who can go forward and sit on speed and is a good chance also.

Number: 6 – 14 – 2 – 10                 

Bet: EACH WAY 6 RISING RED

 

Race 5

Group 2 race for the 2 year olds, and there looks to be good speed engaged. I’m with 11 SIZZLING ACE, to get the race run to suit and steam home over the top of them late. She has been good in all her runs, although she is still a maiden after 4 goes, she shouldn’t be. She made good ground late last time out on a wet track, and with the better gate and dry track, she can settle closer and be in the finish. 1 MISHANI HUSTLER is just a winner, he will be on speed again making his own luck, along with 10 PENINO, but there’s the potential of them over doing the speed and getting ran over late.

Numbers: 11 – 1 – 10 – 4                

Bet: EACH WAY 11 SIZZLING ACE

 

Race 6

Toughest race on the card for me, found it difficult to split numbers 1,2,3,4,13 with the 14 a hope also.  I’ve almost ended up with 4 MARSUPIAL on top, by virtue of the good gate he gets the right run in transit, and with that he looks hardest to beat, but his not a bet sat the price for me. 1 SNITZ is a nice horse, I think if he rolls forward and sits outside the leader, he can definitely win. He’s a smart horse, and at the price he is the bet in the race.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 2 – 3                    

Bet: EACH WAY 1 SNITZ

 

Race 7

1 TORVILL was a good winner at her first QLD run last start, overcoming the wide gate and sprinting past them in the straight. This race looks very similar in set up, and she can settle back in the run, let the race unfold and round them up again, she is the one to beat. 14 YOUNSTAR is a nice filly on her way through the grades for Chris Waller and looks a good chance also. She has been impressive in winning her last 2 starts, gets K McEvoy here and draws well. She gets a nice run in transit and is a winning hope. I’m happy to be on her Each Way.

Numbers: 14 – 1 – 3 – 5                  

Bet: EACH WAY 14 YOUNGSTAR

 

Race 8

The Group 1 DOOMBEN 10,000 has attracted a crack field of sprinters. Reigning Darley Classic winner 1 REDZEL heads the markets, and rightly so, he’s the one to beat. He will settle in the first 2 or 3 and skip clear on straightening and rest will have to run him down. 12 IN HER TIME is the one from the back that can run down the favorite, and I would be surprised if the winner didn’t come from the above mentioned. 4 CARE TO THINK is the horse on the up in this field, the rest of them are well exposed, but this guy has some x factor about him. 13 ENGLISH can be in the money, she draws well and has trialed up nice for this.

Numbers: 1 – 12 – 4 – 3                  

Bet: WIN 1 REDZEL

 

Race 9

This looks a 2 horse war between 2 HIGHER GROUND & 8 DARK DREAM, with 2 HIGHER GROUND on top. He has drawn well in gate 6 and should get a nice run in transit, and the Sydney form looks very good for this race. 8 DARK DREAM was good last start, looks suited out to 2000m and can go one better here. 4 HANG is the best of the locals, he will likely roll forward from the good gate and get on speed. He was knocked down early last start and can place here with luck.

Numbers: 2 – 8 – 4 – 13                  

Bet: WIN 2 HIGHER GROUND