LADBROKES PARK HILLSIDE June 14
Back to the Hillside track for typically even competitive mid-week racing, rail true, good 4 for winter in Melbourne is becoming the norm. Expecting fair racing, tempo based advantage but no surprise to see later day run-on wide horses coming into play but don’t over think this.
Best: Race 5 #3 Living Large at $3.80 bet now
Best Value: Race 2 #9 Notio at $6 bet now
Race 1: 11-10-9-1
The Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig 2YO 11 MULK dominates the market around $2.4 but still does things wrong which is why it is still a maiden. Had two runs now 1400m, over-raced last time when over-run late, not knocking effort but doubt it’s value. Mind you older opposition has convictions too. Betting wise 10 ZUBERINA might be better option, no luck off long break, stable in form, jockey always hard to beat. 9 REDROUZ comes off a sound fitness building synthetic return. 1 BLUE BEAR wants the 1400m and is over the odds. Sure blinkers go on 8 ORACABESSA and back from 1600m but has a few convictions.
Suggested: Each-way 10 ZUBERINA at $9 bet now against obvious favourite.
Race 2: 9-4-8-3
Tricky, but going value again here 9 NOTIO, resumed in an 1100m race which didn’t suit and betting suggested such, straight to 1400m on track where it has won at the trip and like the $9 going for Beau Mertens. Hard to leave 4 IT’S A SHAME BILLY out of multiples, that is where it runs. 8 LET’S GO TO RIO in typically good form as is 3 LORD TENNYSON.
Suggested: Love the offered price 9 NOTIO at $6 bet now
Race 3: 1-5-10-4
Not much would surprise here and race changed with significant morning scratchings. Not keen to play. 5 BELIEVEING comes off solid synthetic performances that are good enough to take beating here but comes up short now. 1 KALASHANI LAD resumed at big odds but was more than meritorious Rillito and Nikitas albeit off $81 and either of those would run short priced favourites here. 10 MANIHI MISCHIEF can place with claim below the minimum. 4 I AM THYE GENERAL gets a chance now.
Suggested: Not keen but would gamble something on 1 Kalashani Lad at $6 bet now
Race 4: 2-5-1-8
Good race. 5 RUBY SEA profiles well off strong maiden win in Ciaron Maher camp. Races have been spaced, is developing well and has upside. But going on top with 2 LADY LEE, winless in five runs this time in but saddle slipped last time and that wasn’t only bad luck. Drawn to seeming advantage here. Nothing wrong with 1 MANHATTAN VIXEN form – also rolls forward from outer draw and so much of the Soho Ruby-Pedrena form ties in. Value runner 8 IDOL.
Suggested: Keen each way 2 LADY LEE at $4.40 bet now
Race 5: 3-8-7-9
Going 3 LIVING LARGE who has been $4.6 down and now three runs in and up to 1800m can see why. Over-raced last time then held up, just needs to get a rhythm here. 8 MUTIN has been suitably solid all runs this campaign to say 1800m will suit now. Ditto 7 BRASSY BELLE with blinkers off, Williams on for Waller third run up. 9 Pindan Pearl a good chance to run into the money.
Suggested: Go with the move 3 LIVING LARGE at $3.80 bet now
Race 6: 4-1-19-9
Ok, so staying with 4 GRANDDUKEOFTUSCANY – can’t believe it got to where it did in run last week but expect at 2400m it rolls more forward and finds its best form. Most have some hope here so value in 1 SHAKOPEE on dryer track and is over the odds. 19 RAINDROPS ON ROSES gets the run and goes in with Williams taking over. 9 SAVVY BANDIT is maintaining good form this time in. Won’t leave 5 RENEW out of wider quaddie but think it is top pick or take plenty.
Suggested: Stay with 4 GRANDDUKEOFTUSCANY at $5 bet now one more time.
Race 7: 8-5-2-7
The obvious here is 8 YOGI, off one good return run back now to 1600m on the Hillside where he has won. But market finds that easily. Nothing wrong with the form of 5 NANGAWOOKA, won three of last four and will run usual honest race. Also, overs here is 2 ALROUZ – winner two of past three- and finds best form here. Has trialled well Cranbourne synthetic since last knockout win. Sure 7 LADY EFFORT has claims and blinkers on 4 ERECTOR will find improvement.
Race 8: 9-5-8-1
Again the obvious is with a big stable in Waller’s 9 DIAPASON, not saying alley huge negative for its pattern but doubt has clear edge at odds over 5 BORN MAGIC – enjoying best campaign and Zahra gets aboard here, beat DAIPASON home (luckily) two runs back then overcame difficulties to win last time. 8 AVENUE WHISPER resumes off Burumbeet jumpout and the positive lead is it goes 1400m first up. Best value 1 JACQUIE’S JOY with blinkers back on and has best overall form against these.
Suggested: again two bets – favourite 9 DIAPASON at $4.40 bet now and save smaller stake 5 BORN MAGIC