Overview: Plenty of spring potential starts kicking off at this traditional meeting. Rail out 3m (from previous true).The track has come up soft 6 – after 9mm overnight rain, some showers forecast in the area before races start so bit wary there, if not Caulfield dries quickly, albeit on a cold morning.
Nonetheless, this will have no effect tipping on D K Weir – just the six winners on top here.
BEST BET: Race 8 #11 Brave Smash $3.6 bet now
BEST VALUE: Race 7 #7 Star Exhibit $9.5 bet now
Race 1: 8-6-1-2
Don’t think 1 HELL OR HIGHWATER or 2 DULVERTON with their claimers can give the weight to 8 SEA THE SPARKLE to start a big day for D K Weir unbeaten soft ground. Query obviously 6 NOT ONLY FLORINA who off a mark of BM 78 is dangerous.
SUGGESTED: stay with 8 SEA THE SPARKLE $4.2 bet now
Race 2: 5-6-2-3
Betting has pointed the right way with 5 OREGON’S DAY resuming here though unproven soft. 6 WRITTEN ERA is under-rated and comes to a Saturday test at the right time and loves cut in track. 2 LYUBA is destined for better and is a first-up winner who handles softly. 3 SULLIVAN BAY is the fit reliable one. Not risking 1 RISQUE with all the class.
SUGGESTED: Follow the money trail 5 OREGON’S DAY $3.5 bet now
Race 3: 16-13-2-15
Another positive betting lead for 16 QUILISTA on Melbourne debut for Weir off huge WA form for a BM73 horse but all on firm tracks. 13 FURSA, from the same stable is another recruit to be proven on any sort of affected tracks. 2 THE ANSWERMYFRIEND ran well first up last campaign before winning and predict the same scenario here.15 LAND OF PLENTY will race itself out of this BM starting here this campaign.
SUGGESTED: Liking the push the way of 16 QUILISTA and can see why. $4.4 bet now
Race 4: 1-3-4-9
What an unattractive race. Can 4 RHYTHM TO SPARE make it back to back, can 3 AMOVATIO make it a win? Not for the punters. 1 BIG DUKE is the best horse and better priced to gamble on, gets ground to suit. 9 MOONOVERMANHATTAN is fit enough and Weir enough now to run a place.
SUGGESTED: Only want to back 1 BIG DUKE against these. $6 bet now
Race 5: 1-8-6-
The good fillies resume and the best of those is 1 CATCHY and has trialed up well. Against them is the fit and talented 8 CROWN WITNESS to be respected. 6 SEANNIE looks a real talent and from another form line. 4 UNDOUBTABLE MISS progressed well through the first campaign.
SUGGESTED: 1 CATCHY to resume in style. $2.1 bet now
Race 6: 4-13-14-8
Boys version here of last season’s 2Yo’s into 3 and safe option 4 the unbeaten JUKEBOX, (note the shoeing change) who missed the big season pressure for various reasons to start again here. 13 POSEIDON’S POOL is the fit danger, 14 A THOUSAND DEGREES is the big query with a sense of stable timing. 8 CLIFF’S EDGE has shown good ability – as have most of these.
SUGGESTED: 4 JUKEBOX the obvious but not clear cut. $3.3 bet now
Race 7: 7-2-3-4
No Winx in Melbourne is great and the reason for being here for 2 HARTNELL but then there are six from D K Weir to beat. Reckon 7 STAR EXHIBIT in for a big spring in the good campaign under full-time care of Weir. But that’s not knocking the ever reliable 3 BLACK HEART BART and 4 TOSEN STARDOM.
SUGGESTED: Starting a spring affair with 7 STAR EXHIBIT. $9.5 bet now
Race 8: 11-1-14-6
Exciting prospect here in 11 BRAVE SMASH – again new to Weir, Japanese form and well found in early betting. Follow. 1 VEGA MAGIC obvious class and danger and both may end up Everest bound. 14 SOUCHEZ resumes – not worried re alley on the one corner turn – and suggest well placed to go here. 6 LORD DA VINCI profiles well.
Suggested: Start learning about 11 BRAVE SMASH $3.6 bet now
Race 9: 14-6-20-12
So it’s Weir again with 14 OZI CHOICE bringing fitness to peak here. 6 DIVINE MR ARTIE doesn’t have a winning profile but remains a threat in this. 20 WAYANKA is striking while in hot form, ground not an issue while 12 TIAMO GRACE resumes on what should be a top-level reaching campaign.
SUGGESTED: Punter’s pal (hopefully for the day) Weir again and 14 OZI CHOICE. $4.6 bet now
QUADDIE:
4-13-14
2-3-7
1-6-7-11-14
6-12-14-20