The Sunshine Coast isn’t living up to its name this week, there has been plenty of rain around with the track a Heavy 8 today. With the rail out 9m it brings the rail out to the crown of the track, previously on wet days the crown of the track is the place to be. On speed runners should get their chance to get to the crown first early, so we will look for those runners that map well to get full advantage. Of course with any wet tracks, traditions can fly out the window so it will pay to monitor the track and how it plays. The fields have been decimated with scratchings, so we will try and find a couple at value.
RACE 8 Number 11 CODE ONE Each way $12 bet now
Race 7 Number 2 INGEEGOODBE Each Way $5.50 bet now
2 ROSE GARDEN has found a very winnable maiden here. She was around the money before a little freshen up, before hitting the line off a wide run last start. From a much more suitable draw here, Beau Appo can position her in the first 4 and give her every chance. 9 CINZIA is a 2yr old filly taking on the older horses here, which I don’t mind this time of year. She was ok first up 1200m on the Soft track and strips fitter for this. 4 JET’N’WILD has been getting home ok over the 1000m its last 2 starts, looks like the 1200m will suit.
Numbers: 2 – 9 – 4 – 3
Suggested Bet: 1 x 2 Each Way 2 ROSE GARDEN $4.60 bet now
1 KINGS LEGEND looks hardest to beat here, having his first start for the Chris Munce barn. He will likely race off the speed but be finishing hard. 4 APACHE BOOM is a well related gelding who looks to take benefit from his first up run. 2 ALL PLUCK is going ok and will handle the wet track. 7 MURT REYNOLDS has been a costly horse for punters, but again will be there about in this field.
Numbers: 1 – 4 – 2 – 7
Suggested Bet: Can’t really entertain the prices on offer here.
5 MR HENNESSY gets back to his favourite track and distance here, where his had 6 starts for 2 wins a second and 2 thirds. Should lead from an inside gate and looks to get every chance. 7 GRACEVILLE the horse to beat. Should get a nice run in transit and handles the conditions. I thought the favourite 6 ADERITO was under the odds, has been just ok his last 2.
Numbers: 5 -7 -6 – 8
Suggested Bet: WIN BET 5 MR HENNESSY $4.40 bet now
4 CLOCKWORK ORANGE will go around an odds on favourite here. She has competed at Listed level in Melbourne, and did trial well for this. She looks the winner on her best form, the query is the Heavy track. 1 LIPSYNC was placed here on a heavy track 3 starts back and can be in the money here. 6 MEGHAPUSHPA is fitter from 1 run back from a spell, handles the conditions and should race prominently.
Numbers: 4 – 1 – 6 – 8
Suggested Bet: Favourite to win, but too short to entertain a bet here.
10 LEROY ROCKS represents good value here. Won on a heavy track 3 back before taking on Listed level 2 back. Last start led on a slow tempo and was simply out sprinted to the line. The wet track suits and he can race near the speed and give a sight at the odds. Hardest to beat 7 YANKEE TANGO who caught the eye late when finishing hard late on the soft track at the Gold Coast first up. I think these 2 can beat the favourite 4 GUISSOLA who is coming off a first up win at Casino on a soft track. 6 SHOWASHADOW is coming off an Eagle Farm run last start, which is a forgive as it didn’t handle the track.
Numbers: 10 – 7 – 4 – 6
Really open race here so going to lean toward the value runner here in 10 SON OF JUSTICE. Has trialled up over 1270m in preparation for this, loves the trip and has a win on the heavy. The query of course is first up 1400m on the heavy but at the price is worth the look. Hardest to beat 2 JACKPOT who looks like the 1400m suits and has won on the soft. 4 REVALDOR & 5 MYSTERIUM next best.
Numbers: 10 – 2 – 4 – 5
Suggested Bet: Small 1 x 2 SON OF JUSTICE $12 bet now
Very even race with $4 the field available! 2 INGEEGOODBE has been hitting the line well in 2 runs back from a spell and look ready to run a race here at the mile. From the inside gate he should be able to settle a touch closer than usual and be the one finishing best late. He looks a safe Each Way play at $6. 10 HIGH DEGREE has been racing well and looks ready for the mile and can close late into the money. 11 BOCAGE 1 ALSEEYA also chances
Numbers: 2 – 10 – 11 -1
Suggested Bet: 1 x2 Each way 2 INGEEGOODBE $5.50 bet now
11 CODE ONE represents the blow out chance on the card today. Races best on the wet tracks and has placed 3 of 5 on track. He can race on speed here and give a great sight. 1 TAMBOS HEART has to carry a lot of weight on a wet track, but is the horse to beat. 2 PATRONIZING was plain first up but can improve here. 7 TRUCULENT will be in the finish.
Numbers: 11 – 1 – 2 – 7
Suggested Bet: Each Way 11 CODE ONE $12 bet now