Shane Ciurleo’s preview & best Gold Coast

Gold Coast Turf Club Saturday, 17 March 2018

 

Rail Position: Out 1.5m 1000m – 400m, True Remainder

Dual Track Meeting: N

Track Type: Turf

Track Condition: Soft 5

Weather: Fine

 

Best Bets:

WIN R7 N7 SKATE TO PARIS

EACH WAY R3 N8 PREFERITO

ROUGHIE R9 N1 BROTHERLY SECRET

 

Race 1

Impossible race to dissect with a number of speedsters engaged here. 10 AGGRAVATE was the one I thought represented good EW value. 10 AGGRAVATE steps up to class 3 here from his maiden win but ran good time that day and can go close here. 3 WHYCATCHIM has drawn to be leading / on speed and will be in the finis, along with the 9 MEDITERRANEAN, who’s best would be good enough, but resumes here off a wind operation.

Numbers: 10 – 9 – 3 – 4

Bet: Each Way 10 AGGRAVATE

 

Race 2

3 IRISH OPTIMISM can improve here on the 7 day back.  He was a month between runs last start when chasing MORENDI and EXOTERIC last week, strips fitter here. 7 COLOUR OF MONEY mad good late ground when stepping up in trip last start. The step to 2200m looks suitable here and can figure.

Numbers: 3 – 7 – 2 – 1

Bet: Each Way 3 IRISH OPTIMISM

 

Race 3

8 PREFERITO was a month between runs when a fighting third last start. It was a strong on speed effort, and with the low gate and light weight, he can sit on speed here and prove very hard to beat. 9 IL RICCIO was ok when first up for 16 months behind Mr Marbellouz, then toyed with a moderate bunch at the Sunny Coast last start. He looks to be improving, just the wide gate is against him.

Numbers: 8 –  9 – 10 – 4

Bet: EACH WAY 8 PREFERITO

 

Race 4

Even bunch of 3 year olds competing over the 1800m, with a stack of hopes. Looking for value here in the shape of 2 FULL DIAMOND.  He beat up on a moderate bunch at the Gold Coast, but did it well enough to suggest he can measure up here. Most of his competition is coming through similar sort of grade, so he looks value.

Numbers: 2 – 1 – 9 – 5

Bet: EACH WAY 2 FULL DIAMOND

 

Race 5

Time for 1 HONEY TOAST to step up and be counted here. He has been ok in 2 runs from an injury enforced layoff, third up should be fitter and ready to run a strong 1800m.  Hardest to beat is 6 CAPETOWN HUSSEY, who has a good sprint when produced for her run. Should get a good run in transit and be powering home here.

Numbers: 1 – 6 – 8 – 4

Bet: EACH WAY 1 HONEY TOAST

 

Race 6

Looks a 2 horse race here between 9 PLUMARO & 3 MISHANI HUSTLER.  3 MISHANI HUSTLER is the only horse to beat 9 PLUMARO, having her measure when they met at DOOMBEN. It may be a case of de ja vue, with MISHANI HUSTLER booting clear and PLUMARO chasing him down, and it will be the same result with 3 MISHANI HUSTLER holding on to win.

Numbers: 3 – 9 – 1 – 5

Bet: WIN 3 MISHANI HUSTLER

 

Race 7

7 SKATE TO PARIS was arguably something beaten last start. Looks perfectly suited here with the gate, should get a gun run in transit. She looks to atone for her last start defeat by stable mate 2 JOHNNY WHITESOX. 11 BASARA was a great run last time, will likely work forward from the gate but will run well again.

Numbers: 7 – 2 – 11 – 12

Bet: WIN 7 SKATE TO PARIS

 

Race 8

13 MOGADOR was super late chasing home Mr Marbellouz last time out.  He will likely get back and be wide with cover but look for him to be charging down the centre of the track late. If the speed is genuine, which it looks to be on paper, this horse can reel off a hot late split and is massive overs.

Numbers: 13 –  6 – 4 – 1 4

Bet: EACH WAY 13 MOGADOR

 

Race 9

With a drying track predicted, I’m expecting 1 BROTHERLY SECRET to run a big race at big odds here. His form is on Good tracks, so if the track dries out he looks well suited. He will race on speed, and his form last prep at this trip was very good for this.  16 SEA THE SPARKLE is pitched in here with only 52.5kg, and was just beaten by a better horse last start. Looks a massive hope and can entertain something on her at the price also.

Numbers: 1 – 16 – 5 – 7

Bet: EW 1 BROTHERLY SECRET & WIN BET 16 SEA THE SPARKLE

 

 

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